At a Glance

Two areas are being monitored for tropical development in the Atlantic basin.One of those areas is a disturbance that will move toward the Southeast U.S. coast Monday.The first hurricane in the Eastern Pacific will likely impact parts of Mexico this week.

It may only be the end of June but two areas are being watched for possible tropical development in the Atlantic, while the first hurricane of the season is impacting parts of Mexico in the Eastern Pacific.

Atlantic Basin

Two areas are being watched for tropical development over the next few days.

The first area has been designated Invest 96L, meaning the National Hurricane Center is investigating this area for potential tropical development. This small low-pressure system is located several hundred miles east-southeast of the Georgia-South Carolina border.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with this system are currently disorganized because of unfavorable upper-level winds. Some additional development is still possible today, especially as it moves across the warmer waters of the Gulf Stream.

A tropical depression or storm could form before it moves onshore late Monday and the National Hurricane Center has given this disturbance a high chance of tropical development. An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system Monday afternoon.

The next tropical storm to form in the Atlantic will be called Danny.

Potential Tropical Development Areas

(The potential area(s) of tropical development according to the latest National Hurricane Center outlook are shown by polygons, color-coded by the chance of development over the next five days. An "X" indicates the location of a current disturbance.)

Regardless of development, this disturbance closer to the Lower 48 will bring rain and thunderstorms to parts of the Southeast early this week.

Locally heavy rainfall could lead to flash flooding near the South Carolina and Georgia coasts Monday into early Tuesday. Breezy conditions are also likely, especially closer to the coast.

In the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean, an area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave has been labeled Invest 95L. This is an unusual area for tropical development this early in the season as conditions are typically not favorable for tropical cyclones.

(MORE: What Is Typical in the Atlantic in June and July)

This system remains disorganized and little development is expected over the next couple of days. However, some gradual development is possible later this week as it moves rapidly westward. The NHC has given this system a medium chance of tropical development over the next five days.

Eastern Pacific

Enrique became the first hurricane of the season in the Eastern Pacific on Saturday. The first hurricane in the Eastern Pacific usually forms around June 26 so it is not unusual. However, Enrique is the fifth tropical cyclone of the season which typically doesn't occur until July 22.

Hurricane Enrique is moving generally north-northwestward just off the western Mexican coast. Hurricane and tropical storm warnings and watches have been issued for portions of the coast.

Current Storm Status and Projected Path

(The red-shaded area denotes the potential path of the center of the tropical cyclone. It's important to note that impacts (particularly heavy rain, high surf, coastal flooding, winds) with any tropical cyclone usually spread beyond its forecast path.)

Rainfall amounts of over 6 inches of rainfall are possible, with up to 18 inches over Colima and coastal sections of Jalisco and Nayarit in western Mexico.

Flash flooding and mudslides are concerns in areas that receive heavy rainfall through early this week.

High surf and rip currents are also expected.

Enrique is expected to gradually weaken beginning on Monday as it tracks over cooler sea surface temperatures.

Rainfall Forecast

(Locally higher amounts are possible.)

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