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Not an April Fool's Joke: China's Tiangong-I Space Station Expected to Re-Enter Earth's Atmosphere Tonight
Not an April Fool's Joke: China's Tiangong-I Space Station Expected to Re-Enter Earth's Atmosphere Tonight
Nov 18, 2024 6:36 AM

At a Glance

The spacestation is expected to re-enter the atmosphere at about 10 p.m. EDT Sunday, plus or minus 7 hours.Michigan Gov. Rick Snyder activated the state’s Emergency Operations Center to monitor the re-entry of the space station.The risk that an individualwill be "hit and injured by the re-entry ofa generic space objectis estimated to be less than one in one trillion."

China's out-of-control Tiangong-I Space Lab is predicted to re-enter Earth's atmosphere Sunday,April Fool's Day.

The , give or take 7 hours, according to Aerospace, a private space engineering and research company that has been tracking the progress of the 9.4-ton, school-bus-sized space station for months.

The European Space Agency (ESA) also , although it notes that it could change, particularly since a quieter-than-usual sun is allowing the craft to remain aloft longer than previously expected.

While an exact location is unknown, the latest prediction has the , space.com notes. However, that could change quickly.

Michigan is in the re-entry zone and is preparing for the unlikely eventthat debris from the spacestation lands somewhere in the state.

On Thursday, (SEOC) to monitor the reentry of Tiangong-I, clickondetroit.com reports.

“While the chances are slim that any of the debris will land in Michigan, we are monitoring the situation and are prepared to respond quickly if it does,” said Capt. Chris A. Kelenske, Deputy State Director of Emergency Management and Homeland Security Division. “The state will rely on its existing satellite reentry response and recovery plan for any necessary response protocols.”

(MORE:)

The likelihood anyone will be injured or killed by debris from the remnants of the spacecraftafter it passes through the atmosphere is remote. The most likely scenario is that any remaining debrisfrom Tiangong-1 willlandin the ocean or in unpopulated areas.

According to Aerospace, the risk that an individualwill be "hit and injured by the reentry ofa generic space object."

"To put this into context, the risk that an individual in the U.S. will be struck by lightning is about one in 1.4 million," the company notes.

Only one personhas ever been struck by falling debris. Lottie Williams of Tulsa, Oklahoma,wasfrom a rocket fuel tank fell on her shoulder while she was out for a walk.

In the unlikely event debris falls on your property, China would be obligated to pay for damages under the.

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