A tropical disturbance, Invest 98L, is located well off the Southeast coast.This disturbance is likely to develop into a tropical or subtropical depression or storm early this week.For now, this doesn't appear to be a threat for the East Coast.
An area of low pressure well off the Southeast coast is likely to develop into a tropical or subtropical depression or storm, but is not expected to be a direct threat to the East Coast in the week ahead.
A broad area of low pressure to the east of the Carolinas, tagged Invest 98L by the National Hurricane Center (NHC), is producing a large area of disorganized showers well off the Southeast coast.
(MORE: What is an Invest?)
The NHC has given it a high chance of development into a tropical or subtropical depression or storm early this week.
National Hurricane Center Potential Development Area
(The potential area(s) of tropical development according to the latest National Hurricane Center outlook are shown by polygons, color-coded by the chance of development over the next five days. An "X" indicates the location of a current disturbance.)
For now, the large majority of forecast model guidance keeps the track of this system well off the East Coast. You can see that in the orientation of the red potential development area from the NHC in the above map.
Even with a track well offshore, this system, in combination with high pressure to its north, will generate swells that could lead to rip currents and high surf along parts of the Eastern Seaboard early this week.
Late in the week, this system may end up brushing or directly impacting some part of Atlantic Canada. Heavy rain is possible in Nova Scotia as this system merges with a cold front.