The price you pay for a cup off coffee may go up because of the damaging drought conditions caused by the El Niño weather system.
Brazil and Indonesia, the second and third largest producers of robusta beans, are experiencing dryness that could endanger the production of the popular bean type. Overall, Brazil and Indonesia are .
Colombia, the second-largest producer of arabica beans, is also feeling the heat from an El Niño-related dryness that threatens to worsen the ongoing drought, jeopardizing the country’s output.
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Robusta and arabica beans occupy the first and second spots as the world’s most popular type of coffee bean. Robusta, grown at lower altitudes, usually sells for a much cheaper price than arabica, which make up the majority of the world’s production and are normally regarded as a higher quality bean.
As a result of the worst drought to affect Brazil’s most populous area since data collection arrived over 80 years ago, Benchmark ICE futures a price . The spike would likely be driven over concern that the drought will reduce the Brazilian and Indonesian supplies.
Irrigation bans are in place in Espirito Santo, Brazil, and could remain in effect until the end of November.
A worker selects organic coffee beans at the Fortaleza Environmental Farm in Mococa, some 300 km northeast of Sao Paulo, Brazil on August 6, 2015.
(NELSON ALMEIDA/AFP/Getty Images)
“At the moment ,” Carlos Mera, an analyst with Rabobank, told Reuters about Espirito Santo.
In Columbia, the northern and western parts of the country have been in an El-Niño-related drought since early 2015, and the conditionsare expected to intensify. Shortages related to the phenomenon have pushed some , says Colombia Reports.
“, and they forecast it will be like this for five months more,” southwestern Nariño state grower, Raul Fajardo, told Colombia Reports. “That would ruin farmers in this region.”
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In addition to the drought, coffee growers are now competing with the construction industry for labor. Construction workers, who are paid better than harvesters, are growing in number and as public-works projects begin, according to news agency Bloomberg Business.
When coffee beans aren’t tended to as they should, they become vulnerable to rotting and pests, which could continue to drive down production and recede the existing bean quality.
“If El Nino goes on like this, ,” Sami Saleh, the deputy chairman of the Associate of Indonesian Coffee Exporters and Industries, told Reuters.
MORE ON WEATHER.COM: Brazil's Drought in October 2015
This photo shows a view of cracked soil on the bed of the Aleixo Lake, in the rural area of Manaus, Amazonas, Brazil, on October 23, 2015. The lake is located in front of where the waters of the Solimoes river and the Rio Negro meet and marks the beginning of the Amazon River. The Rio Negro reached 3.21 meters above its historical lowest level of 2010, when it reached 13.63 meters due to the drought.